BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Elizabeth City St

Class: 2 Class Rank: 140 Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (4-3) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength =   73.78

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2016 Away    L    82.03  12  20   1B 112 (  4-  7) Norfolk St             10.10    -18.10                      
  2 09/10/2016 Away    L    55.36  21  83   1B  45 (  8-  3) Fordham               -16.58 *  -45.42                      
  3 09/17/2016 Neutral W    74.05  35  30    2 152 (  3-  7) Morehouse               2.12      2.88                      
  4 09/24/2016 Away    L *  65.78  28  31    2 156 (  3-  7) Johnson C. Smith       -6.15      3.15                      
  5 10/01/2016 Home    W *  64.01  28  21    2 161 (  2-  8) Shaw                   -7.92     14.92                      
  6 10/07/2016 Away    L *  89.33  38  44    2  91 (  9-  2) Virginia St            17.39    -23.39                      
  7 10/15/2016 Away    W *  58.92  33  23    2 169 (  1-  9) Lincoln PA            -13.02     23.02                      
  8 10/22/2016 Home    W * 101.78  40  21    2 119 (  6-  4) Chowan                 29.85    -10.85                      
  9 10/29/2016 Home    W *  82.14  24  21    2 118 (  5-  5) Virginia Union         10.20     -7.20                      
 10 11/05/2016 Away    L *  45.94   7  56    2  75 (  7-  4) Bowie St              -25.99    -23.01                      
      Averages              71.93  26.6 35.0

Best game:  101.78 = 19 point win over Chowan
Worst game:  45.94 = 49 point loss to Bowie St
Team stdev:  17.08